Wolfsberger AC 1-3 Swarovski Tirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.06
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
17%
4.04
X/2
11%
10.4
X/X
11%
5.65
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
9%
7.6
2/X
5%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
1.93/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.87
+20% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 70%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
20.7 Crosses 17.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsberger AC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.93 xG 1.16
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
327 Passes 299
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 3-1 HT 0-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
16.03.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
17.02.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 4-1 HT 2-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
23.09.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 2-3 HT 0-1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
27.05.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 2-0 HT 2-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
07.04.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 4-0 HT 3-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsberger AC
1-3
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
0.93 xG 1.74
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
440 Passes 226
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Wolfsberger AC vs Swarovski Tirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swarovski Tirol got the better of Wolfsberger AC 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Wolfsberger AC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Wolfsberger AC had 64% of the ball to Swarovski Tirol's 36%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.93 to 1.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolfsberger AC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Wolfsberger AC and 1.50 for Swarovski Tirol.

What was the final score of Wolfsberger AC vs Swarovski Tirol?

Wolfsberger AC 1-3 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsberger AC vs Swarovski Tirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wolfsberger AC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Wolfsberger AC 50%, draw 24%, Swarovski Tirol 26%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Wolfsberger AC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wolfsberger AC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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