Grazer AK 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
3.25
6+ Goals
12%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.05
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
10%
12.2
X/1
17%
5.09
X/2
15%
6.7
X/X
11%
4.71
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
10%
4.51
2/X
8%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +21%
1.06/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.60
+3% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 68%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
24.9 Crosses 15.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.11.2022 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 2-1 HT 1-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK HAZ
18.04.2021 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 3-0 HT 1-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
06.11.2020 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-1 HT 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AU2
23.06.2020 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 1-2 HT 0-1 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
20.09.2019 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-2 HT 1-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grazer AK
0-1
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
1.82 xG 1.90
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 5
309 Passes 255
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 20
33 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs Austria Klagenfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Klagenfurt edged past Grazer AK 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Austria Klagenfurt found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grazer AK had 54% of the ball to Austria Klagenfurt's 46%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 1.82 to 1.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Austria Klagenfurt led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grazer AK and 1.80 for Austria Klagenfurt.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Austria Klagenfurt?

Grazer AK 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt in the Austria - Bundesliga on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs Austria Klagenfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grazer AK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 38%, draw 29%, Austria Klagenfurt 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Grazer AK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
29 Sep 2024
15:30 Hartberg vs Rheindorf Altach Analysis →
15:30 Wolfsberger AC vs Swarovski Tirol Analysis →