Rheindorf Altach 1-2 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.93
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.98
6+ Goals
8%
18.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 31% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.59
1/2
5%
32.0
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
16%
5.22
X/2
13%
5.7
X/X
16%
4.25
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
11%
4.07
2/X
6%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.8pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-4.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.0pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rheindorf Altach EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.37/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.48
-35% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
25.1 Crosses 18.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rheindorf Altach
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hartberg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.80 xG 1.37
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 Passes 323
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 0-0 HT 0-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
13.05.2023 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 0-1 HT 0-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
15.04.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 2-2 HT 0-2 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
16.10.2022 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-0 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
24.07.2022 Hartberg Hartberg 2-1 HT 1-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
26.04.2022 Hartberg Hartberg 4-0 HT 0-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rheindorf Altach
1-2
AWAY Hartberg
1.03 xG 2.02
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
153 Passes 480
61% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rheindorf Altach vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartberg nicked a narrow win over Rheindorf Altach 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Hartberg made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rheindorf Altach had 31% of the ball to Hartberg's 69%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.03 to 2.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartberg led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rheindorf Altach and 1.50 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of Rheindorf Altach vs Hartberg?

Rheindorf Altach 1-2 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rheindorf Altach vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rheindorf Altach win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rheindorf Altach 40%, draw 32%, Hartberg 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rheindorf Altach) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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