Salzburg 7-0 Austria Lustenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
12%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.6
No
56%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.48
2-3 Goals
43%
2.0
4-5 Goals
25%
2.66
6+ Goals
11%
6.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1.22
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
8%
34.5
X/1
15%
3.28
X/2
3%
34.5
X/X
7%
11.6
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
5%
34.5
2/X
6%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
82%
-14.4pp
21%
Draw
12%
+8.9pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+5.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
34%
+9.9pp
56%
BTTS No
66%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 8%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.67/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/1.92
+25% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / +0%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
398 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 67%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.8
20.9 Crosses 9.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Austria Lustenau
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.22 xG 0.29
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
378 Passes 196
80% Pass Accuracy 65%
34 Box Touches 7
24 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-4 HT 0-3 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
11.02.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 4-0 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
27.08.2022 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-6 HT 0-2 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
29.05.2020 Salzburg Salzburg 5-0 HT 2-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AUK
31.10.2018 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-1 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
7-0
AWAY Austria Lustenau
4.17 xG 0.37
77% Ball Possession 23%
22 Total Shots 2
12 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
679 Passes 136
89% Pass Accuracy 62%
44 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg ran out comfortable winners over Austria Lustenau 7-0. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Salzburg had 77% of the ball to Austria Lustenau's 23%, shots finished 22-2, expected goals 4.17 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Salzburg had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Salzburg and 0.00 for Austria Lustenau.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau?

Salzburg 7-0 Austria Lustenau in the Austria - Bundesliga on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 68%, draw 21%, Austria Lustenau 12%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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