LASK Linz 0-1 Wolfsberger AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.61
6+ Goals
12%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 28% vs market 25.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.4
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
18%
4.09
X/2
13%
8.37
X/X
13%
4.86
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
9%
6.48
2/X
5%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 27%
-12% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +26%
1.57/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.38
-22% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +57%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
317 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 66%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
20.9 Crosses 14.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LASK Linz
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.51 xG 0.88
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
331 Passes 223
73% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 2-1 HT 2-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
30.10.2022 LASK Linz LASK Linz 4-1 HT 3-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
06.08.2022 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-5 HT 0-4 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
06.03.2022 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-0 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
17.10.2021 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
12.05.2021 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 0-4 HT 0-2 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
0-1
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
0.40 xG 2.24
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
345 Passes 206
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 8
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Wolfsberger AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsberger AC edged past LASK Linz 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was LASK Linz at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, LASK Linz had 61% of the ball to Wolfsberger AC's 39%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.40 to 2.24 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Wolfsberger AC's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for LASK Linz and 1.00 for Wolfsberger AC.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Wolfsberger AC?

LASK Linz 0-1 Wolfsberger AC in the Austria - Bundesliga on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Wolfsberger AC?

Before kick-off our model rated a LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 48%, draw 24%, Wolfsberger AC 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✗ Over 2.5
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