Bangor 1876 3-1 Caerau (Ely) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Welsh Cup, 31 Jan 2026

Bangor 1876
3-1 HT 2-1
Caerau (Ely)
📅31/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - Welsh Cup – 2025/2026

Bangor 1876 vs Caerau (Ely) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.1pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-1.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.7pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bangor 1876 v Caerau (Ely) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bangor 1876 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Caerau (Ely) EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Bangor 1876 vs Caerau (Ely)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bangor 1876 beat Caerau (Ely) 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 22% / 40%) promised a tight game; Bangor 1876 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Bangor 1876 vs Caerau (Ely)?

Bangor 1876 3-1 Caerau (Ely) in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bangor 1876 vs Caerau (Ely)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Caerau (Ely) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bangor 1876 37%, draw 22%, Caerau (Ely) 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caerau (Ely)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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