Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caernarfon Town v Colwyn Bay — Team-Based Signals
Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Colwyn Bay
GAL
0-4
HT 0-1
Caernarfon Town
GAL
Caernarfon Town 4-1 Colwyn Bay — Actual Match Statistics
Caernarfon Town swept aside Colwyn Bay 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Caernarfon Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (66%) came in.
On the day, Caernarfon Town had 47% of the ball to Colwyn Bay's 53%, shots finished 10-18.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Caernarfon Town had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Caernarfon Town and 0.80 for Colwyn Bay.
What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
Caernarfon Town 4-1 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - Welsh Cup on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caernarfon Town vs Colwyn Bay?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caernarfon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Caernarfon Town 39%, draw 27%, Colwyn Bay 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Caernarfon Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.