MTK Budapest vs Kazincbarcika Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MTK Budapest v Kazincbarcika — Team-Based Signals
MTK Budapest vs Kazincbarcika Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-3
HT 2-1
MTK Budapest
MAC2
1-4
HT 0-1
MTK Budapest
MACK
MTK Budapest 1-3 Kazincbarcika — Actual Match Statistics
Kazincbarcika got the better of MTK Budapest 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had MTK Budapest at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, MTK Budapest had 66% of the ball to Kazincbarcika's 34%, shots finished 23-16, expected goals 2.87 to 1.87 — the balance of chances actually favoured MTK Budapest.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for MTK Budapest and 2.33 for Kazincbarcika.
What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Kazincbarcika?
MTK Budapest 1-3 Kazincbarcika in the Hungary - NB I on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Kazincbarcika?
Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 61%, draw 23%, Kazincbarcika 17%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MTK Budapest) went the other way.