FK Karlskrona 1-1 IFK Trelleborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
18%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.59
Over 2.5
49%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.3pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.9pp
18%
Away Win
24%
-5.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
35%
+16.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
65%
-16.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.4pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Karlskrona EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Trelleborg EU Bookmakers 27%
+21% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.72/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/2.33
+29% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
363 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Karlskrona
1W-1D-0L
AWAY IFK Trelleborg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
10.09.2023 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 1-1 HT 0-0 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona İSÇ4
13.05.2023 FK Karlskrona FK Karlskrona 3-2 HT 2-1 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg İSÇ4
POST-MATCH FK Karlskrona vs IFK Trelleborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Karlskrona and IFK Trelleborg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was FK Karlskrona at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FK Karlskrona had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FK Karlskrona and 1.50 for IFK Trelleborg.

What was the final score of FK Karlskrona vs IFK Trelleborg?

FK Karlskrona 1-1 IFK Trelleborg in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Karlskrona vs IFK Trelleborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Karlskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FK Karlskrona 51%, draw 30%, IFK Trelleborg 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FK Karlskrona) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Karlskrona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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