Franke 1-3 Arlanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.94
Draw
16%
3.72
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.35
No
40%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
30%
+8.5pp
16%
Draw
23%
-7.8pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.7pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
70%
-10.3pp
40%
BTTS No
30%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Franke EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Arlanda EU Bookmakers 50%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
0.81/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/1.51
-47% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Franke
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Arlanda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
30.07.2023 Arlanda Arlanda 0-1 HT 0-1 Franke Franke İSÇ4
08.04.2023 Franke Franke 1-2 HT 1-1 Arlanda Arlanda İSÇ4
POST-MATCH Franke vs Arlanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arlanda got the better of Franke 3-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arlanda as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Franke and 1.00 for Arlanda.

What was the final score of Franke vs Arlanda?

Franke 1-3 Arlanda in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Franke vs Arlanda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arlanda win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Franke 39%, draw 16%, Arlanda 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arlanda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arlanda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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