Maccabi Netanya 0-3 Beitar Jerusalem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.73
6+ Goals
10%
15.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.73 — our 24% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Netanya EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem EU Bookmakers 37%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.59/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.51
+17% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
19.6 Crosses 14.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Netanya
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.02 xG 1.52
48% Ball Possession 52%
18 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
285 Passes 302
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2024 Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem 0-0 HT 0-0 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya İSR
20.12.2023 Maccabi Netanya Maccabi Netanya 0-3 HT 0-1 Beitar Jerusalem Beitar Jerusalem İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Netanya
0-3
AWAY Beitar Jerusalem
2.31 xG 0.91
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
233 Passes 416
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Maccabi Netanya vs Beitar Jerusalem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beitar Jerusalem ran out comfortable winners over Maccabi Netanya 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Beitar Jerusalem found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Maccabi Netanya had 40% of the ball to Beitar Jerusalem's 60%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.31 to 0.91 — on chances, Maccabi Netanya could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Beitar Jerusalem led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Maccabi Netanya and 1.50 for Beitar Jerusalem.

What was the final score of Maccabi Netanya vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Maccabi Netanya 0-3 Beitar Jerusalem in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Netanya vs Beitar Jerusalem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Netanya win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Netanya 36%, draw 31%, Beitar Jerusalem 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Maccabi Netanya), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Netanya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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