Maccabi Haifa 1-2 Maccabi Bnei Raina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.03
Over 2.5
40%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
3.82
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.25
6+ Goals
7%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 39% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-5.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.1pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+3.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
45%
+14.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
55%
-14.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.0pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Haifa EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Maccabi Bnei Raina EU Bookmakers 17%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
2.49/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.52
+1% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
33.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
20.9 Crosses 12.8
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Haifa
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 0.90
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
393 Passes 238
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 13
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.03.2024 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina 2-1 HT 0-1 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa İSR
27.12.2023 Maccabi Haifa Maccabi Haifa 1-0 HT 0-0 Maccabi Bnei Raina Maccabi Bnei Raina İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Haifa
1-2
AWAY Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.25 xG 1.49
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 3
502 Passes 206
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
42 Box Touches 14
35 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Bnei Raina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maccabi Bnei Raina edged past Maccabi Haifa 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Maccabi Haifa at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maccabi Haifa had 68% of the ball to Maccabi Bnei Raina's 32%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.25 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Maccabi Haifa and 1.00 for Maccabi Bnei Raina.

What was the final score of Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Bnei Raina?

Maccabi Haifa 1-2 Maccabi Bnei Raina in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Haifa vs Maccabi Bnei Raina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Haifa win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Haifa 60%, draw 22%, Maccabi Bnei Raina 18%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Haifa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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31 Mar 2024
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