St. Pauli vs Paderborn Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Pauli v Paderborn — Team-Based Signals
St. Pauli vs Paderborn Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
St. Pauli
AL2
1-2
HT 0-2
St. Pauli
AL2
2-2
HT 0-1
Paderborn
AL2
2-2
HT 2-1
Paderborn
AL2
3-1
HT 1-1
St. Pauli
AL2
0-2
HT 0-1
Paderborn
AL2
St. Pauli 2-1 Paderborn — Actual Match Statistics
St. Pauli edged past Paderborn 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had St. Pauli as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, St. Pauli had 58% of the ball to Paderborn's 42%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.42 to 0.91.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paderborn led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for St. Pauli and 2.00 for Paderborn.
What was the final score of St. Pauli vs Paderborn?
St. Pauli 2-1 Paderborn in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Pauli vs Paderborn?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli 42%, draw 27%, Paderborn 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pauli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.