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Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perth Glory (K) v Melbourne City (K) — Team-Based Signals
Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
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1-0
HT 0-0
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Perth Glory (K)
AVUSTW
5-2
HT 2-0
Melbourne City (K)
AVUSTW
Perth Glory (K) 1-2 Melbourne City (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne City (K) squeezed past Perth Glory (K) 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Melbourne City (K) as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Perth Glory (K) had 39% of the ball to Melbourne City (K)'s 61%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.35 to 0.39.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Perth Glory (K) and 1.50 for Melbourne City (K).
What was the final score of Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?
Perth Glory (K) 1-2 Melbourne City (K) in the Australia - W-League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory (K) 17%, draw 22%, Melbourne City (K) 61%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.