Gomel 2-3 Neman Grodno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
51%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.8
Over 2.5
56%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.75
6+ Goals
12%
15.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.75 — our 28% vs market 21.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
27%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
51%
Away Win
47%
+3.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.4pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gomel EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 51%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.74/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.77
+56% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
228 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gomel
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Neman Grodno
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2024 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-0 HT 1-0 Gomel Gomel HAZ
22.08.2023 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-2 HT 0-1 Gomel Gomel BLR
09.04.2023 Gomel Gomel 3-3 HT 1-2 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
30.10.2022 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 3-0 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
03.07.2022 Gomel Gomel 3-0 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
15.08.2021 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-0 HT 1-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gomel
2-3
AWAY Neman Grodno
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gomel vs Neman Grodno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neman Grodno squeezed past Gomel 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Neman Grodno as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Gomel had 49% of the ball to Neman Grodno's 51%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neman Grodno led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gomel and 1.67 for Neman Grodno.

What was the final score of Gomel vs Neman Grodno?

Gomel 2-3 Neman Grodno in the Belarus - Premier League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gomel vs Neman Grodno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gomel 22%, draw 27%, Neman Grodno 51%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neman Grodno), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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