Guabira 3-1 Universitario de Vinto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
36%
3.35
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
49%
-9.7pp
36%
Draw
27%
+9.3pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 27%
+14% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.76/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.75
+50% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 70%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
16.5 Crosses 12.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guabira
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.56 xG 0.81
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
293 Passes 267
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
01.12.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
05.06.2023 Guabira Guabira 1-0 HT 1-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
12.10.2022 Guabira Guabira 1-0 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
3-1
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
2.67 xG 1.07
52% Ball Possession 48%
27 Total Shots 18
13 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
264 Passes 217
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 37
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guabira vs Universitario de Vinto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guabira beat Universitario de Vinto 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 36% / 24%) promised a tight game; Guabira found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guabira had 52% of the ball to Universitario de Vinto's 48%, shots finished 27-18, expected goals 2.67 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Guabira and 0.50 for Universitario de Vinto.

What was the final score of Guabira vs Universitario de Vinto?

Guabira 3-1 Universitario de Vinto in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs Universitario de Vinto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Guabira 40%, draw 36%, Universitario de Vinto 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guabira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guabira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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