AZ (K) 3-3 PSV Eindhoven (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
50%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+6.3pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.6pp
50%
Away Win
61%
-11.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.00/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+61% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ (K)
3-3
AWAY PSV Eindhoven (K)
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AZ (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ (K) and PSV Eindhoven (K) shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was PSV Eindhoven (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, AZ (K) had 56% of the ball to PSV Eindhoven (K)'s 44%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of AZ (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)?

AZ (K) 3-3 PSV Eindhoven (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ (K) vs PSV Eindhoven (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV Eindhoven (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split AZ (K) 24%, draw 26%, PSV Eindhoven (K) 50%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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