AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-1 Omiya Ardija (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.3pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+117% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
441 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
03.03.2024 Omiya Ardija (K) Omiya Ardija (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 AS Elfen Saitama (K) AS Elfen Saitama (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Elfen Saitama (K)
2-1
AWAY Omiya Ardija (K)
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Elfen Saitama (K) edged past Omiya Ardija (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; AS Elfen Saitama (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AS Elfen Saitama (K) had 46% of the ball to Omiya Ardija (K)'s 54%, shots finished 11-6.

What was the final score of AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-1 Omiya Ardija (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Elfen Saitama (K) vs Omiya Ardija (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Omiya Ardija (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split AS Elfen Saitama (K) 34%, draw 28%, Omiya Ardija (K) 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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