Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-2 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
6.35
Draw
31%
4.34
Away
53%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
13%
+3.3pp
31%
Draw
20%
+10.8pp
53%
Away Win
67%
-14.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) EU Bookmakers 71%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-100% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
224 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 447 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K)
1-2
AWAY INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
50% Ball Possession 50%
4 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) nicked a narrow win over Cerezo Osaka (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka (K) had 50% of the ball to INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)'s 50%, shots finished 4-14.

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)?

Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-2 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka (K) vs INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka (K) 16%, draw 31%, INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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