Parceiro Nagano (K) 3-5 Urawa Red (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.91
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
51%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
12%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
14%
+5.9pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.6pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-12.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.9pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +139% / -51%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
224 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Urawa Red (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red (K) got the better of Parceiro Nagano (K) 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-5. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Urawa Red (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Urawa Red (K)?

Parceiro Nagano (K) 3-5 Urawa Red (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Urawa Red (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Urawa Red (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano (K) 20%, draw 29%, Urawa Red (K) 51%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Urawa Red (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Urawa Red (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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