Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-1 JEF United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.8pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.3pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+127% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)
1-1
AWAY JEF United (K)
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs JEF United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) and JEF United (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) had 50% of the ball to JEF United (K)'s 50%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs JEF United (K)?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 1-1 JEF United (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) vs JEF United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K) 40%, draw 30%, JEF United (K) 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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