Ajka 1-0 Gyirmot — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 31 Mar 2024

Ajka
1-0 HT 0-0
Gyirmot
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
44%
-9.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajka EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyirmot EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +4%
1.72/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.00
+29% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajka
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Gyirmot
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2023 Gyirmot Gyirmot 2-1 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
26.04.2023 Ajka Ajka 1-0 HT 1-0 Gyirmot Gyirmot MAC2
06.11.2022 Gyirmot Gyirmot 1-3 HT 1-2 Ajka Ajka MAC2
19.09.2021 Ajka Ajka 0-1 HT 0-1 Gyirmot Gyirmot MACK
04.04.2021 Gyirmot Gyirmot 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajka Ajka MAC2
04.10.2020 Ajka Ajka 2-0 HT 0-0 Gyirmot Gyirmot MAC2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajka
1-0
AWAY Gyirmot
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajka vs Gyirmot
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajka edged past Gyirmot 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Ajka made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Ajka had 46% of the ball to Gyirmot's 54%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ajka and 0.83 for Gyirmot.

What was the final score of Ajka vs Gyirmot?

Ajka 1-0 Gyirmot in the Hungary - NB II on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajka vs Gyirmot?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajka win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Ajka 35%, draw 30%, Gyirmot 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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