Budafoki MTE 1-0 Budapest Honved — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB II, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.8
Over 2.5
38%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-5.8pp
34%
Draw
27%
+7.6pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Budafoki MTE EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Budapest Honved EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.35/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.86
+4% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Budafoki MTE
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Budapest Honved
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2023 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 2-2 HT 1-1 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC2
02.05.2021 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 0-1 HT 0-0 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC
13.02.2021 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved 2-3 HT 2-1 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE MAC
23.12.2020 Budafoki MTE Budafoki MTE 1-2 HT 1-1 Budapest Honved Budapest Honved MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Budafoki MTE
1-0
AWAY Budapest Honved
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Budafoki MTE vs Budapest Honved
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budafoki MTE edged past Budapest Honved 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 34% / 34%) promised a tight game; Budafoki MTE found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Budafoki MTE had 43% of the ball to Budapest Honved's 57%, shots finished 9-16.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Budapest Honved led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Budafoki MTE and 1.75 for Budapest Honved.

What was the final score of Budafoki MTE vs Budapest Honved?

Budafoki MTE 1-0 Budapest Honved in the Hungary - NB II on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Budafoki MTE vs Budapest Honved?

Before kick-off our model rated an Budapest Honved win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Budafoki MTE 32%, draw 34%, Budapest Honved 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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