Pachuca 2-3 Toluca — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Mexico - Primera, 31 Mar 2024

Pachuca WDLWL→
2 - 3 HT 1 - 3
Toluca WWWDW→
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
2.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.2
OverVIEW
63%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.43
Total Goals
0-1
17%
4.71
2-3
42%
1.91
4-5
30%
2.84
6+
11%
7.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Pachuca v Toluca — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Pachuca The Market 46%
Signal
AWAY Toluca The Market 37%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.80 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.54
1.42 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.56
Strong Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3

Pachuca vs Toluca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pachuca
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Toluca
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.65 xG 1.80
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
265 Passes 408
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Toluca Toluca 5-0 HT 2-0 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
20.02.2023 Pachuca Pachuca 1-2 HT 0-1 Toluca Toluca MEK
31.10.2022 Pachuca Pachuca 3-1 HT 1-1 Toluca Toluca MEK
28.10.2022 Toluca Toluca 1-5 HT 0-4 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
28.08.2022 Toluca Toluca 1-4 HT 0-2 Pachuca Pachuca MEK
13.03.2022 Toluca Toluca 0-3 HT 0-1 Pachuca Pachuca MEK

Pachuca 2-3 Toluca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pachuca
2 - 3
AWAY Toluca
1.60 xG 1.55
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
317 Passes 305
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Pachuca vs Toluca
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Toluca came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Pachuca 3-2 on the road. Half-time: 1-3. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

We leaned Pachuca at 42% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%) came home.

Under the surface, Pachuca had 51% of the ball to Toluca's 49%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.60 to 1.55.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pachuca had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Pachuca and 1.67 for Toluca.

Pachuca vs Toluca Result & Final Score

Pachuca 2 - 3 Toluca in the Mexico - Primera on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 42%, draw 25%, Toluca 33%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pachuca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pachuca) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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