SSC Farul 0-1 FCSB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.01
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.88 — our 23% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SSC Farul EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FCSB EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.61/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.10
+2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
321 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SSC Farul
3W-1D-2L
AWAY FCSB
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.61 xG 1.44
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
05.02.2024 FCSB FCSB 1-1 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
17.09.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 0-1 HT 0-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
21.05.2023 SSC Farul SSC Farul 3-2 HT 1-2 FCSB FCSB ROM
17.04.2023 FCSB FCSB 2-1 HT 1-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
29.01.2023 FCSB FCSB 2-3 HT 0-0 SSC Farul SSC Farul ROM
31.08.2022 SSC Farul SSC Farul 3-1 HT 2-0 FCSB FCSB ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SSC Farul
0-1
AWAY FCSB
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH SSC Farul vs FCSB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCSB nicked a narrow win over SSC Farul 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FCSB as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, SSC Farul had 50% of the ball to FCSB's 50%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SSC Farul had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for SSC Farul and 1.50 for FCSB.

What was the final score of SSC Farul vs FCSB?

SSC Farul 0-1 FCSB in the Romania - 1st Division on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SSC Farul vs FCSB?

Before kick-off our model rated an FCSB win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split SSC Farul 31%, draw 28%, FCSB 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCSB), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FCSB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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