Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-2 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+2.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.64/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.68
+26% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Chernomorets
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.07.2023 Chernomorets Chernomorets 1-1 HT 0-0 Alaniya Vladikavkaz Alaniya Vladikavkaz RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1-2
AWAY Chernomorets
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Chernomorets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chernomorets squeezed past Alaniya Vladikavkaz 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Alaniya Vladikavkaz at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alaniya Vladikavkaz had 57% of the ball to Chernomorets's 43%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Chernomorets?

Alaniya Vladikavkaz 1-2 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alaniya Vladikavkaz vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alaniya Vladikavkaz win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Alaniya Vladikavkaz 49%, draw 26%, Chernomorets 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alaniya Vladikavkaz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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