Neftekhimik 1-1 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.8
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.9pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.1pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.16/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.17
+8% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
262 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftekhimik
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Akron
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 Akron Akron 0-0 HT 0-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
22.04.2023 Akron Akron 0-3 HT 0-2 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
01.10.2022 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-1 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS1
12.03.2022 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-0 HT 0-0 Akron Akron RUS1
05.09.2021 Akron Akron 1-3 HT 1-2 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
17.04.2021 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 3-2 HT 2-0 Akron Akron RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neftekhimik
1-1
AWAY Akron
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Neftekhimik vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftekhimik and Akron couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Neftekhimik had 38% of the ball to Akron's 62%, shots finished 7-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neftekhimik had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Neftekhimik and 0.67 for Akron.

What was the final score of Neftekhimik vs Akron?

Neftekhimik 1-1 Akron in the Russia - FNL on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftekhimik vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftekhimik win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Neftekhimik 40%, draw 27%, Akron 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Neftekhimik), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neftekhimik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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