Caracas FC 1-2 Hermanos Colmenarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
-14.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caracas FC EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.79/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.57
+7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +45%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.9
21.8 Crosses 10.1
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caracas FC
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.57 xG 1.11
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
309 Passes 244
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 0-0 HT 0-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
19.02.2023 Caracas FC Caracas FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
19.10.2022 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
07.08.2022 Caracas FC Caracas FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez VEN
18.04.2022 Hermanos Colmenarez Hermanos Colmenarez 2-1 HT 2-0 Caracas FC Caracas FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caracas FC
1-2
AWAY Hermanos Colmenarez
2.95 xG 0.56
69% Ball Possession 31%
24 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 2
384 Passes 120
83% Pass Accuracy 55%
37 Box Touches 4
24 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Caracas FC vs Hermanos Colmenarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hermanos Colmenarez nicked a narrow win over Caracas FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Caracas FC at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Caracas FC had 69% of the ball to Hermanos Colmenarez's 31%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 2.95 to 0.56 — the balance of chances actually favoured Caracas FC.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hermanos Colmenarez led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Caracas FC and 1.20 for Hermanos Colmenarez.

What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Caracas FC 1-2 Hermanos Colmenarez in the Venezuela - Premier League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caracas FC vs Hermanos Colmenarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caracas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Caracas FC 51%, draw 25%, Hermanos Colmenarez 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Caracas FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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