Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 31 Mar 2024

Estudiantes De Merida
1-2 HT 0-0
Deportivo La Guaira
📅31/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

Estudiantes De Merida vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Estudiantes De Merida v Deportivo La Guaira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +14%
1.10/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.84
-23% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
24.0 Crosses 16.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3

Estudiantes De Merida vs Deportivo La Guaira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
232 Passes 345
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.09.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
04.03.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-3 HT 1-2 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
19.10.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
22.08.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
02.04.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 1-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
01.12.2021 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 4-1 HT 2-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN

Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
1-2
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira squeezed past Estudiantes De Merida 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Deportivo La Guaira made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 48% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 52%, shots finished 6-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Estudiantes De Merida had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.00 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Estudiantes De Merida 1-2 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 36%, draw 30%, Deportivo La Guaira 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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