Lecco 1-0 GIANA Erminio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 31 Mar 2025

📅31/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.6
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.1pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.7pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecco EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 33%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.37/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.82
+13% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
399 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecco
3W-2D-1L
AWAY GIANA Erminio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-0 HT 1-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
23.02.2022 Lecco Lecco 1-0 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
11.09.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-1 HT 0-1 Lecco Lecco İTC
24.01.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 1-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
26.09.2020 Lecco Lecco 1-0 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
23.11.2019 Lecco Lecco 1-1 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecco
1-0
AWAY GIANA Erminio
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lecco vs GIANA Erminio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecco squeezed past GIANA Erminio 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Lecco found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lecco had 47% of the ball to GIANA Erminio's 53%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lecco had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lecco and 0.50 for GIANA Erminio.

What was the final score of Lecco vs GIANA Erminio?

Lecco 1-0 GIANA Erminio in the Italy - Serie C on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecco vs GIANA Erminio?

Before kick-off our model rated an GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Lecco 34%, draw 31%, GIANA Erminio 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (GIANA Erminio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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