GIANA Erminio 1-0 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.49
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
4.9
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GIANA Erminio EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -19%
1.16/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.32
-5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GIANA Erminio
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Lecco
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2022 Lecco Lecco 1-0 HT 1-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
11.09.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 0-1 HT 0-1 Lecco Lecco İTC
24.01.2021 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio 1-1 HT 1-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
26.09.2020 Lecco Lecco 1-0 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
23.11.2019 Lecco Lecco 1-1 HT 0-0 GIANA Erminio GIANA Erminio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GIANA Erminio
1-0
AWAY Lecco
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH GIANA Erminio vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIANA Erminio nicked a narrow win over Lecco 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 30% — and on the day GIANA Erminio made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, GIANA Erminio had 43% of the ball to Lecco's 57%, shots finished 5-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lecco led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for GIANA Erminio and 1.00 for Lecco.

What was the final score of GIANA Erminio vs Lecco?

GIANA Erminio 1-0 Lecco in the Italy - Serie C on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GIANA Erminio vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated a GIANA Erminio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split GIANA Erminio 39%, draw 30%, Lecco 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GIANA Erminio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (GIANA Erminio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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