Pergolettese vs Alcione Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pergolettese v Alcione — Team-Based Signals
Pergolettese 1-2 Alcione — Actual Match Statistics
Alcione nicked a narrow win over Pergolettese 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Pergolettese at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Pergolettese had 68% of the ball to Alcione's 32%, shots finished 19-5.
What was the final score of Pergolettese vs Alcione?
Pergolettese 1-2 Alcione in the Italy - Serie C on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pergolettese vs Alcione?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pergolettese win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pergolettese 45%, draw 26%, Alcione 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.