Pro Patria 1-1 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Nov 2024

Pro Patria
1-1 HT 0-1
Virtus Verona
📅16/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Pro Patria vs Virtus Verona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
41%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
5.51
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.9pp
41%
Away Win
28%
+13.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.2pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pro Patria v Virtus Verona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pro Patria EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -1%
1.08/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.99
-12% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
262 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

Pro Patria vs Virtus Verona Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pro Patria
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Virtus Verona
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.12.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 2-0 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
26.02.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 2-0 HT 2-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
23.10.2022 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-0 HT 1-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
13.02.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-2 HT 0-0 Pro Patria Pro Patria İTC
03.10.2021 Pro Patria Pro Patria 1-0 HT 1-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC

Pro Patria 1-1 Virtus Verona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pro Patria
1-1
AWAY Virtus Verona
70% Ball Possession 30%
6 Total Shots 2
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pro Patria vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Patria and Virtus Verona couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Virtus Verona at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Pro Patria had 70% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 30%, shots finished 6-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pro Patria had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Pro Patria and 0.80 for Virtus Verona.

What was the final score of Pro Patria vs Virtus Verona?

Pro Patria 1-1 Virtus Verona in the Italy - Serie C on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pro Patria vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated an Virtus Verona win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pro Patria 32%, draw 26%, Virtus Verona 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Virtus Verona), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Virtus Verona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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