Newells Old Boys 2-0 Boca Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 31 Mar 2025

📅31/03/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
36%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.54
Over 2.5
34%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
5.02
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.93
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
10%
15.6
X/1
16%
6.97
X/2
14%
4.51
X/X
18%
3.84
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
14%
3.05
2/X
5%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.1pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
61%
+5.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.4pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.19/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.12
-8% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
22.2 Crosses 18.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newells Old Boys
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Boca Juniors
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.77 xG 1.16
42% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
256 Passes 382
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
09.12.2024 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-1 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
06.04.2024 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-3 HT 0-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
12.11.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 1-0 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
25.07.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-1 HT 1-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
16.10.2022 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 2-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
01.12.2021 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newells Old Boys
2-0
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.13 xG 1.18
23% Ball Possession 77%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
120 Passes 509
70% Pass Accuracy 90%
11 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newells Old Boys saw off Boca Juniors 2-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; Newells Old Boys found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Newells Old Boys had 23% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 77%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 1.13 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Newells Old Boys and 1.17 for Boca Juniors.

What was the final score of Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors?

Newells Old Boys 2-0 Boca Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newells Old Boys vs Boca Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Newells Old Boys 32%, draw 32%, Boca Juniors 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Boca Juniors) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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