Vasco da Gama vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Vasco da Gama v Santos — Team-Based Signals
Vasco da Gama vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Vasco da Gama 2-1 Santos — Actual Match Statistics
Vasco da Gama squeezed past Santos 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Vasco da Gama as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (58%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Vasco da Gama had 53% of the ball to Santos's 47%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.35 to 1.96 — on chances, Santos could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.83 for Santos.
Vasco da Gama vs Santos Result & Final Score
Vasco da Gama 2 - 1 Santos in the Brazil - Serie A on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Vasco da Gama vs Santos Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 41%, draw 32%, Santos 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasco da Gama) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.