Union Magdalena 0-1 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 31 Mar 2025

Union Magdalena
0-1 HT 0-0
Santa Fe
📅31/03/2025 · 🕒01:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Union Magdalena vs Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Magdalena v Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Magdalena EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.15/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.01
-5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 71%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
17.8 Crosses 15.5
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.2

Union Magdalena vs Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Magdalena
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Santa Fe
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.69 xG 1.41
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
238 Passes 316
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 2-2 HT 2-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
26.02.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
26.09.2022 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 0-2 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
04.04.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
21.10.2019 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 0-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
28.04.2019 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 3-1 HT 2-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL

Union Magdalena 0-1 Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Magdalena
0-1
AWAY Santa Fe
1.25 xG 1.22
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
211 Passes 298
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Union Magdalena vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe edged past Union Magdalena 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Santa Fe found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Union Magdalena had 44% of the ball to Santa Fe's 56%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.25 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Union Magdalena and 1.33 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Union Magdalena vs Santa Fe?

Union Magdalena 0-1 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Magdalena vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Magdalena win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Union Magdalena 40%, draw 29%, Santa Fe 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Union Magdalena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Magdalena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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