America de Cali 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 31 Mar 2025

📅31/03/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.1pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 20%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.57/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.47
+4% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 74%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
16.7 Crosses 12.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.50 xG 0.79
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
275 Passes 294
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 10
10 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 1-1 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
18.03.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
1-0
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
0.98 xG 2.01
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
289 Passes 309
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali nicked a narrow win over Fortaleza CEIF 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, America de Cali had 49% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 51%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 0.98 to 2.01 — on chances, Fortaleza CEIF could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for America de Cali and 0.50 for Fortaleza CEIF.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF?

America de Cali 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 52%, draw 25%, Fortaleza CEIF 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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31 Mar 2025
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