America de Cali 1-1 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.47
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
64%
-15.4pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.9pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.9pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.52/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.75
+1% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +110% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.9
16.6 Crosses 12.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.01 xG 0.66
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
246 Passes 315
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 13
7 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
1-1
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
1.98 xG 0.92
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
304 Passes 273
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali and Fortaleza CEIF couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was America de Cali at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, America de Cali had 52% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 48%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.98 to 0.92.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF?

America de Cali 1-1 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 48%, draw 30%, Fortaleza CEIF 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (America de Cali), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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