Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Once Caldas v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals
Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
2-2
HT 2-1
Once Caldas
KOL
1-1
HT 1-1
Once Caldas
KOL
2-1
HT 1-1
Independiente Medellin
KOL
3-1
HT 0-1
Once Caldas
KOL
Once Caldas 0-2 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin saw off Once Caldas 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Once Caldas at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
On the day, Once Caldas had 60% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 40%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.79 to 0.69 — the balance of chances actually favoured Once Caldas.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Once Caldas had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Once Caldas and 1.67 for Independiente Medellin.
What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin?
Once Caldas 0-2 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 44%, draw 30%, Independiente Medellin 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Once Caldas) went the other way.