Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v Once Caldas — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
2-2
HT 2-1
Once Caldas
KOL
1-1
HT 1-1
Once Caldas
KOL
2-1
HT 1-1
Independiente Medellin
KOL
3-1
HT 0-1
Once Caldas
KOL
1-3
HT 1-1
Independiente Medellin
KOLK
Independiente Medellin 1-2 Once Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
Once Caldas nicked a narrow win over Independiente Medellin 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Once Caldas made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Independiente Medellin had 57% of the ball to Once Caldas's 43%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 0.66 to 0.41.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.50 for Once Caldas.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas?
Independiente Medellin 1-2 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 39%, draw 32%, Once Caldas 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.