Envigado 1-1 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 17 Mar 2024

Envigado
1-1 HT 1-1
Millonarios
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Envigado vs Millonarios Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
36%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
25%
+10.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
47%
-11.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Envigado v Millonarios — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 51%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
0.92/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.69
+21% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -11%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
231 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
13.2 Crosses 18.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1

Envigado vs Millonarios Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Envigado
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Millonarios
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.60 xG 1.21
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
253 Passes 370
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Box Touches 20
11 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.09.2023 Envigado Envigado 1-2 HT 1-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
05.05.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 1-1 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
23.07.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
03.02.2022 Envigado Envigado 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
27.10.2021 Envigado Envigado 2-1 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
17.01.2021 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL

Envigado 1-1 Millonarios — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Envigado
1-1
AWAY Millonarios
0.61 xG 1.29
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
330 Passes 353
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 18
5 Crosses 13
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Envigado and Millonarios couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Envigado had 48% of the ball to Millonarios's 52%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.61 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Envigado and 1.00 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Millonarios?

Envigado 1-1 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated a Envigado win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Envigado 36%, draw 28%, Millonarios 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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