Boyaca Chico vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boyaca Chico v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals
Boyaca Chico vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Atletico Nacional
KOL
3-1
HT 2-1
Boyaca Chico
KOL
2-0
HT 0-0
Boyaca Chico
KOL
0-3
HT 0-1
Atletico Nacional
KOL
3-2
HT 1-1
Boyaca Chico
KOL
1-1
HT 1-1
Atletico Nacional
KOL
Boyaca Chico 2-1 Atletico Nacional — Actual Match Statistics
Boyaca Chico nicked a narrow win over Atletico Nacional 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 31% / 39% — and on the day Boyaca Chico made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Boyaca Chico had 45% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 55%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.70 to 0.13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Boyaca Chico and 2.50 for Atletico Nacional.
What was the final score of Boyaca Chico vs Atletico Nacional?
Boyaca Chico 2-1 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boyaca Chico vs Atletico Nacional?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Boyaca Chico 29%, draw 31%, Atletico Nacional 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.