Atletico Bucaramanga 4-0 La Equidad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.5pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY La Equidad EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
0.91/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.25
-15% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
16.5 Crosses 13.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
1W-2D-3L
AWAY La Equidad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.01 xG 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
271 Passes 301
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 2-3 HT 1-1 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
13.05.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
16.10.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 3-1 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
30.04.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
21.11.2021 La Equidad La Equidad 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
09.02.2021 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
4-0
AWAY La Equidad
1.36 xG 0.24
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
283 Passes 275
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 10
10 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs La Equidad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga ran out comfortable winners over La Equidad 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Bucaramanga as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 50% of the ball to La Equidad's 50%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.36 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 1.33 for La Equidad.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs La Equidad?

Atletico Bucaramanga 4-0 La Equidad in the Colombia - Primera on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs La Equidad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 43%, draw 31%, La Equidad 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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