Millonarios 3-0 Envigado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.32
Draw
26%
4.49
Away
16%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
71%
-13.7pp
26%
Draw
19%
+6.9pp
16%
Away Win
10%
+6.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.7pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Envigado EU Bookmakers 12%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.33/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.33
-10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 75%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
21.1 Crosses 11.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Envigado
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.38 xG 0.55
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
364 Passes 253
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.03.2024 Envigado Envigado 1-1 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
25.09.2023 Envigado Envigado 1-2 HT 1-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
05.05.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 1-1 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
23.07.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 1-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
03.02.2022 Envigado Envigado 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
27.10.2021 Envigado Envigado 2-1 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
3-0
AWAY Envigado
2.41 xG 0.38
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
305 Passes 207
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 9
26 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Envigado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios cruised past Envigado 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Millonarios had 56% of the ball to Envigado's 44%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.41 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Millonarios and 0.83 for Envigado.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Envigado?

Millonarios 3-0 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Envigado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 58%, draw 26%, Envigado 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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