Mafra 1-0 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 31 Mar 2025

Mafra
1-0 HT 0-0
Felgueiras 1932
📅31/03/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Mafra vs Felgueiras 1932 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.88
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mafra v Felgueiras 1932 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.43/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.23
-13% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.8 Crosses 13.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7

Mafra vs Felgueiras 1932 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.03 xG 0.40
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
134 Passes 88
62% Pass Accuracy 73%
9 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
03.11.2024 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 1-1 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR2

Mafra 1-0 Felgueiras 1932 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra
1-0
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
1.11 xG 1.15
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
166 Passes 129
59% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mafra vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra squeezed past Felgueiras 1932 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Mafra found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mafra had 44% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 56%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.11 to 1.15.

What was the final score of Mafra vs Felgueiras 1932?

Mafra 1-0 Felgueiras 1932 in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated an Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mafra 33%, draw 28%, Felgueiras 1932 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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