Felgueiras 1932 1-1 Mafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 3 Nov 2024

Felgueiras 1932
1-1 HT 0-0
Mafra
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Felgueiras 1932 vs Mafra Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.44
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Felgueiras 1932 v Mafra — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra EU Bookmakers 25%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +17%
0.90/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.50
-64% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
369 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.5 Crosses 15.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Felgueiras 1932 1-1 Mafra — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Felgueiras 1932
1-1
AWAY Mafra
0.40 xG 1.03
60% Ball Possession 40%
3 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
88 Passes 134
73% Pass Accuracy 62%
6 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Felgueiras 1932 vs Mafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Felgueiras 1932 and Mafra couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Felgueiras 1932 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Felgueiras 1932 had 60% of the ball to Mafra's 40%, shots finished 3-6, expected goals 0.40 to 1.03.

What was the final score of Felgueiras 1932 vs Mafra?

Felgueiras 1932 1-1 Mafra in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Felgueiras 1932 vs Mafra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Felgueiras 1932 46%, draw 29%, Mafra 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Felgueiras 1932), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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