Porto II 1-1 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 28% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.58/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.16
+26% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.8 Crosses 18.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto II
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Torreense
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.06 xG 1.27
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
406 Passes 298
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Torreense Torreense 0-1 HT 0-1 Porto II Porto II POR2
08.10.2023 Porto II Porto II 2-2 HT 1-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
11.03.2023 Torreense Torreense 3-0 HT 1-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
17.09.2022 Porto II Porto II 2-0 HT 1-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto II
1-1
AWAY Torreense
0.60 xG 0.27
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
268 Passes 287
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Porto II vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto II and Torreense shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Porto II had 50% of the ball to Torreense's 50%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 0.60 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Porto II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Porto II and 1.25 for Torreense.

What was the final score of Porto II vs Torreense?

Porto II 1-1 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto II vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porto II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Porto II 40%, draw 28%, Torreense 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Porto II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Porto II) ✓ BTTS Yes
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