Akron 2-3 Rostov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 31 Mar 2025

Akron
2-3 HT 1-1
Rostov
📅31/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.35
6+ Goals
13%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.99
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
24.2
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
11%
7.15
X/2
16%
5.04
X/X
10%
5.02
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
15%
2.9
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.2 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+5.9pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Akron EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Rostov EU Bookmakers 49%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +23%
1.09/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.04
+43% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 81%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
17.5 Crosses 17.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Akron
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Rostov
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.70 xG 0.92
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
255 Passes 362
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2024 Rostov Rostov 0-2 HT 0-2 Akron Akron RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Akron
2-3
AWAY Rostov
2.36 xG 2.41
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 5
253 Passes 236
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 32
21 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Akron vs Rostov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov nicked a narrow win over Akron 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rostov as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Akron had 52% of the ball to Rostov's 48%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 2.36 to 2.41.

What was the final score of Akron vs Rostov?

Akron 2-3 Rostov in the Russia - Premier League on 31/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Akron vs Rostov?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Akron 35%, draw 23%, Rostov 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rostov), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rostov) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →