Etiyopya 1-0 Sao Tome ve Principe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Afrika Uluslar Cup, 31 Mar 2026

Etiyopya
1-0 HT 1-0
Sao Tome ve Principe
📅31/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Afrika Uluslar Cup – 2026

Etiyopya vs Sao Tome ve Principe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
68%
-4.4pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.1pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+3.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Etiyopya v Sao Tome ve Principe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etiyopya EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Tome ve Principe EU Bookmakers 15%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
4.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/2.94
+103% / -73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -38%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.0
– Crosses 8.8
– Yellow Cards 1.1

Etiyopya vs Sao Tome ve Principe Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etiyopya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sao Tome ve Principe
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
27.03.2026 Sao Tome ve Principe Sao Tome ve Principe 0-3 HT 0-2 Etiyopya Etiyopya AFUK
POST-MATCH Etiyopya vs Sao Tome ve Principe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etiyopya nicked a narrow win over Sao Tome ve Principe 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Etiyopya as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Etiyopya vs Sao Tome ve Principe?

Etiyopya 1-0 Sao Tome ve Principe in the Afrika Uluslar Cup on 31/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etiyopya vs Sao Tome ve Principe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etiyopya win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Etiyopya 64%, draw 21%, Sao Tome ve Principe 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etiyopya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Etiyopya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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