İsveç U21 0-4 İtalya U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U21, 31 Mar 2026

İsveç U21
0-4 HT 0-2
İtalya U21
📅31/03/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
European U21 – 2027

İsveç U21 vs İtalya U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
52%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.83
6+ Goals
10%
8.46
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.01 — our 24% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+3.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
52%
Away Win
53%
-1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İsveç U21 v İtalya U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İsveç U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY İtalya U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.13/2.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.01
+61% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +33%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 83%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
11.9 Crosses 15.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

İsveç U21 vs İtalya U21 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İsveç U21
2W-2D-2L
AWAY İtalya U21
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.27 xG 2.53
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
288 Passes 415
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 36
11 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.10.2025 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 4-0 HT 3-0 İsveç U21 İsveç U21 U21
09.06.2022 İsveç U21 İsveç U21 1-1 HT 1-0 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 U21
12.10.2021 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 1-1 HT 1-0 İsveç U21 İsveç U21 U21
18.11.2020 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 4-1 HT 1-0 İsveç U21 İsveç U21 U21
08.09.2020 İsveç U21 İsveç U21 3-0 HT 2-0 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 U21
18.06.2015 İtalya U21 İtalya U21 1-2 HT 1-0 İsveç U21 İsveç U21 U21

İsveç U21 0-4 İtalya U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İsveç U21
0-4
AWAY İtalya U21
0.26 xG 4.02
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
375 Passes 523
81% Pass Accuracy 91%
14 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İsveç U21 vs İtalya U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya U21 swept aside İsveç U21 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İtalya U21 as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, İsveç U21 had 45% of the ball to İtalya U21's 55%, shots finished 4-16, expected goals 0.26 to 4.02.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for İsveç U21 and 1.83 for İtalya U21.

What was the final score of İsveç U21 vs İtalya U21?

İsveç U21 0-4 İtalya U21 in the European U21 on 31/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İsveç U21 vs İtalya U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an İtalya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split İsveç U21 26%, draw 22%, İtalya U21 52%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İtalya U21), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İtalya U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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